â™ Book Title : The Signal and the Noise
✍Author : Nate Silver
â™›Publisher : Penguin
♣Release Date : 2012-09-27
âśżPages : 544
â™ ISBN : 9781101595954
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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📝The Signal and the Noise Book Synopsis : One of Wall Street Journal's Best Ten Works of Nonfiction in 2012 New York Times Bestseller “Not so different in spirit from the way public intellectuals like John Kenneth Galbraith once shaped discussions of economic policy and public figures like Walter Cronkite helped sway opinion on the Vietnam War…could turn out to be one of the more momentous books of the decade.” —New York Times Book Review "Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century." —Rachel Maddow, author of Drift "A serious treatise about the craft of prediction—without academic mathematics—cheerily aimed at lay readers. Silver's coverage is polymathic, ranging from poker and earthquakes to climate change and terrorism." —New York Review of Books Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read. From the Trade Paperback edition.

â™ Book Title : The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes
✍Author :
â™›Publisher : Callisto Media Inc
♣Release Date : 2012-11-20
âśżPages :
â™ ISBN : 9781623150532
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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📝The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes Book Synopsis : The Signal and the Noise …in 30 Minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the fundamental components of prediction outlined in Nate Silver’s bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail ¬– but Some Don’t. In The Signal and the Noise bestselling author, political analyst, and statistician Nate Silver investigates the fundamentals of forecasting and answers why too much information can be misleading. Exploring a variety of fields, ranging from politics to poker to Wall Street and global warming, Silver explores why some forecasts are successful and, perhaps more telling, why so many fail. Stressing the importance of acknowledging personal bias, Silver posits that better forecasters possess a superior understanding of uncertainty and are driven by truth and humility while overconfidence can lead to failure. Presenting a framework for what constitutes a good forecast, Silver provides insight and tools for understanding how to successfully utilize Big Data and decipher meaningful signals from random noise.

â™ Book Title : The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes
✍Author :
â™›Publisher :
♣Release Date : 2012-11-01
âśżPages : 46
â™ ISBN : 1623150523
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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📝The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes Book Synopsis : The Signal and the Noise …in 30 Minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the fundamental components of prediction outlined in Nate Silver’s bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail ¬– but Some Don’t. In The Signal and the Noise bestselling author, political analyst, and statistician Nate Silver investigates the fundamentals of forecasting and answers why too much information can be misleading. Exploring a variety of fields, ranging from politics to poker to Wall Street and global warming, Silver explores why some forecasts are successful and, perhaps more telling, why so many fail. Stressing the importance of acknowledging personal bias, Silver posits that better forecasters possess a superior understanding of uncertainty and are driven by truth and humility while overconfidence can lead to failure. Presenting a framework for what constitutes a good forecast, Silver provides insight and tools for understanding how to successfully utilize Big Data and decipher meaningful signals from random noise.

📒The Signal And The Noise In 30 Minutes ✍ The 30 Minute Expert Series

â™ Book Title : The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes
✍Author : The 30 Minute Expert Series
â™›Publisher : Callisto Media Inc
♣Release Date : 2013-03-29
âśżPages : 32
â™ ISBN : 9781623151225
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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📝The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes Book Synopsis : For a complete understanding of Nate Silver’s Signal and the Noise, we strongly encourage you to purchase the original book titled The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don’t by Penguin Publishing Big data has arrived! Whether you’re using that data to make a billion-dollar decision to merge two companies or to choose a team to win the World Series, how do you distinguish the signal (the truth) from the noise (our all-too-human impulse to make choices based on personal bias)? In his groundbreaking work The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver brings the complexities of statistics down to earth by using real-life examples of how we all make predictions and why those predictions are often wrong. The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes is your expert guide to Nate Silver’s main thesis that our decision making is filtered through our personal assumptions and beliefs as opposed to the truth of the data at hand. This concise companion details: • Nate Silver’s journey from forecasting Major League Baseball players’ performance to predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections • Both praise for and critical reactions to his ideas from such noted sources as the New York Review of Books and the Wall Street Journal • Key concepts, including analyzing prediction failures, practicing Bayesian thinking, and expanding self-awareness • Key terms, such as Bayes’s theorem, with easy-to-understand definitions and examples • Recommended readings and a bibliography listing additional resources analyzing Silver’s work and the phenomenon of big data The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes is a timely guide to a topic that affects all our lives. From choosing stocks, to predicting wars, to making personal changes in light of climate change, The Signal and the Noise challenges both nations and individuals to make smarter choices.

â™ Book Title : Introduction to Random Signals and Noise
✍Author : Wim C. Van Etten
â™›Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
♣Release Date : 2006-02-03
âśżPages : 270
â™ ISBN : 9780470024126
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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đź“ťIntroduction to Random Signals and Noise Book Synopsis : Random signals and noise are present in many engineering systems and networks. Signal processing techniques allow engineers to distinguish between useful signals in audio, video or communication equipment, and interference, which disturbs the desired signal. With a strong mathematical grounding, this text provides a clear introduction to the fundamentals of stochastic processes and their practical applications to random signals and noise. With worked examples, problems, and detailed appendices, Introduction to Random Signals and Noise gives the reader the knowledge to design optimum systems for effectively coping with unwanted signals. Key features: Considers a wide range of signals and noise, including analogue, discrete-time and bandpass signals in both time and frequency domains. Analyses the basics of digital signal detection using matched filtering, signal space representation and correlation receiver. Examines optimal filtering methods and their consequences. Presents a detailed discussion of the topic of Poisson processes and shot noise. An excellent resource for professional engineers developing communication systems, semiconductor devices, and audio and video equipment, this book is also ideal for senior undergraduate and graduate students in Electronic and Electrical Engineering.

📒Sound Hearing ✍ R. Duncan Luce

â™ Book Title : Sound Hearing
✍Author : R. Duncan Luce
â™›Publisher : Psychology Press
♣Release Date : 2013-10-31
âśżPages : 352
â™ ISBN : 9781317759805
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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đź“ťSound Hearing Book Synopsis : This book examines the emergence of gender consciousness among women as a significant force in American politics. The author bases her argument on an in-depth empirical analysis of data derived from the U.S. biennial National Election studies of 1974 to 1984, the year of the emergence of the so-called gender gap. The author discusses the fact that while feminism is central to womens' political orientation, the simple awareness of gender differences and group consciousness is a powerful force of change.

â™ Book Title : An Introduction to Information Theory
✍Author : John R. Pierce
â™›Publisher : Courier Corporation
♣Release Date : 2012-04-26
âśżPages : 336
â™ ISBN : 9780486134970
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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đź“ťAn Introduction to Information Theory Book Synopsis : Covers encoding and binary digits, entropy, language and meaning, efficient encoding and the noisy channel, and explores ways in which information theory relates to physics, cybernetics, psychology, and art. 1980 edition.

â™ Book Title : A Primer of Signal Detection Theory
✍Author : Don McNicol
â™›Publisher : Psychology Press
♣Release Date : 2005-01-15
âśżPages : 240
â™ ISBN : 9781135604684
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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đź“ťA Primer of Signal Detection Theory Book Synopsis : A Primer of Signal Detection Theory is being reprinted to fill the gap in literature on Signal Detection Theory--a theory that is still important in psychology, hearing, vision, audiology, and related subjects. This book is intended to present the methods of Signal Detection Theory to a person with a basic mathematical background. It assumes knowledge only of elementary algebra and elementary statistics. Symbols and terminology are kept at a basic level so that the eventual and hoped for transfer to a more advanced text will be accomplished as easily as possible. Intended for undergraduate students at an introductory level, the book is divided into two sections. The first part introduces the basic ideas of detection theory and its fundamental measures. Its aim is to enable the reader to be able to understand and compute these measures. It concludes with a detailed analysis of a typical experiment and a discussion of some of the problems which can arise for the potential user of detection theory. The second section considers three more advanced topics: threshold theory, the extension of detection theory, and an examination of Thurstonian scaling procedures.

â™ Book Title : Signals and Systems in Biomedical Engineering
✍Author : Suresh R. Devasahayam
â™›Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
♣Release Date : 2012-11-08
âśżPages : 390
â™ ISBN : 9781461453321
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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đź“ťSignals and Systems in Biomedical Engineering Book Synopsis : The use of digital signal processing is ubiquitous in the field of physiology and biomedical engineering. The application of such mathematical and computational tools requires a formal or explicit understanding of physiology. Formal models and analytical techniques are interlinked in physiology as in any other field. This book takes a unitary approach to physiological systems, beginning with signal measurement and acquisition, followed by signal processing, linear systems modelling, and computer simulations. The signal processing techniques range across filtering, spectral analysis and wavelet analysis. Emphasis is placed on fundamental understanding of the concepts as well as solving numerical problems. Graphs and analogies are used extensively to supplement the mathematics. Detailed models of nerve and muscle at the cellular and systemic levels provide examples for the mathematical methods and computer simulations. Several of the models are sufficiently sophisticated to be of value in understanding real world issues like neuromuscular disease. This second edition features expanded problem sets and a link to extra downloadable material.

â™ Book Title : Controlling Chaos and Bifurcations in Engineering Systems
✍Author : Guanrong Chen
â™›Publisher : CRC Press
♣Release Date : 1999-09-28
âśżPages : 672
â™ ISBN : 0849305799
♬Available Language : English, Spanish, And French

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đź“ťControlling Chaos and Bifurcations in Engineering Systems Book Synopsis : Over the last two decades, chaos in engineering systems has moved from being simply a curious phenomenon to one with real, practical significance and utility. Engineers, scientists, and mathematicians have similarly advanced from the passive role of analyzing chaos to their present, active role of controlling chaos-control directed not only at suppression, but also at exploiting its enormous potential. We now stand at the threshold of major advances in the control and synchronization of chaos for new applications across the range of engineering disciplines. Controlling Chaos and Bifurcations in Engineering Systems provides a state-of-the-art survey of the control-and anti-control-of chaos in dynamical systems. Internationally known experts in the field join forces in this volume to form this tutorial-style combination of overview and technical report on the latest advances in the theory and applications of chaos control. They detail various approaches to control and show how designers can use chaos to create a wider variety of properties and greater flexibility in the design process. Chaos control promises to have a major impact on novel time- and energy-critical engineering applications. Within this volume, readers will find many challenging problems-yet unsolved-regarding both the fundamental theory and potential applications of chaos control and anti-control. Controlling Chaos and Bifurcations in Engineering Systems will bring readers up-to-date on recent development in the field and help open the door to new advances.